Average Yield Gap 2000-2009 = 5.5% (as below figure)
Updated 10 year US Bond as of Jan 13 '2014 = 2.85%
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND
Therefore, use Average Yield Gap to predict Average Index
Average PE = 12 times
From Last Article, let say,as of Jan 22 '14: SET=1290, PE = 14.5
http://marketdata.set.or.th/mkt/marketsummary.do?language=th&country=TH
If use PE = 12, SET = 1067 (consider no GDP growth)
So, Average SET = 1067
Today SET (Jan 22 '14) close at = 1290 ==> Very Expensive???
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